03.16.25 Market Recap | Stock Picks Included

_{Market Recap}

📌 Is a Bear Market Confirmed?

To keep things quick and simple, yes and no. Why? Well, shedding through support zones isn’t a official flag of a bear market. It’s not totally confirmed until the relief bounce is restricted. I think we find out very soon.

Free Stock Analysis

$TSLA ( ▲ 3.86% ) - has retreated back to its “value zone”

New low? If the market takes us low this stock could retest familiar lows.

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General Market

The market has sold off over 5% on the year. Chinese stocks have been a great hedge with $BABA ( ▲ 1.99% ) being at +77% on the year and $BIDU ( ▼ 0.47% ) being at +12% on the year

We called all of this out for premium members.

Note:
Like last week, uncertainty is here to stay.
Retail Investors get spooked way too easily.

Quick update on how $ SPY is affecting other companies
$PLTR ( ▲ 8.31% ) is at 86 from 125 (-39 points)
$AMZN ( ▲ 2.09% ) is at 197 from 242 (45 points)
$SPY ( ▲ 2.07% ) is at 562 from 613 (-51 points)
$TSLA ( ▲ 3.86% ) 249 from 439 (-190 points)

See the difference with $TSLA ( ▲ 3.86% ) quality stocks are either trading 1 for 1 with $SPY or less. It shows $TSLA never had true value at 400+
More levels on this in premium.

$SPY ( ▲ 2.07% ) Zoomed Out.

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3 Essential Stock Market Education Tips for Every Level

Whether you're a banker, advisor, retail trader, or long-term investor, understanding the stock market’s fundamentals can help you make better decisions. Here are three key tips that apply to all market participants:

1️⃣ Understand Market Cycles & Economic Trends

📌 Why It Matters: The stock market moves in cycles, influenced by macroeconomic factors like interest rates, inflation, and GDP growth. Even if you're a short-term trader, knowing the bigger picture helps you anticipate market shifts.

✅ Tip: Track key indicators like the Fed’s interest rate policy, employment data, and bond yields to gauge where we are in the market cycle.

🔹 Example: If the Fed starts cutting rates, growth stocks and risk assets tend to perform better.

2️⃣ Follow Institutional Money (Smart Money Flow)

📌 Why It Matters: Hedge funds, banks, and institutional investors move the markets. Understanding how and where they allocate capital can give you an edge.

✅ Tip: Watch for unusual options activity, SEC filings (like 13F reports), and volume spikes in stocks.

🔹 Example: If you see large institutional buying in a sector (e.g., financials), it could signal a macro shift worth paying attention to.

3️⃣ Manage Risk Like a Professional

📌 Why It Matters: The difference between a profitable trader/investor and a losing one is risk management. No matter how good your analysis is, one bad trade without risk control can wipe you out.

✅ Tip: Always use a risk-reward ratio (at least 2:1) and set clear stop-loss levels to protect your capital.

🔹 Example: If you risk $100 on a trade, your potential profit target should be at least $200 to justify the trade.

These foundational principles apply whether you're working at a bank, managing a portfolio, or trading on your own. Master the market’s cycles, track smart money, and control your risk—and you’ll always have an edge.

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