03.16.25 Market Recap | Stock Picks Included

Investment & Trading Updates

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Don’t let this end without you. April 4th is the last day to invest.

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📌 Is a Bear Market Confirmed?

To keep things quick and simple, yes and no. Why? Well, shedding through support zones isn’t a official flag of a bear market. It’s not totally confirmed until the relief bounce is restricted. I think we find out very soon.

Free Stock Analysis

$TSLA ( ▲ 3.86% ) - has retreated back to its “value zone”

New low? If the market takes us low this stock could retest familiar lows.

Levels are given in the Premium section at the bottom of the email.
All other stock analyses are also conducted there.

General Market

The market has sold off over 5% on the year. Chinese stocks have been a great hedge with $BABA ( ▲ 1.99% ) being at +77% on the year and $BIDU ( ▼ 0.47% ) being at +12% on the year

We called all of this out for premium members.

Note:
Like last week, uncertainty is here to stay.
Retail Investors get spooked way too easily.

Quick update on how $ SPY is affecting other companies
$PLTR ( ▲ 8.31% ) is at 86 from 125 (-39 points)
$AMZN ( ▲ 2.09% ) is at 197 from 242 (45 points)
$SPY ( ▲ 2.07% ) is at 562 from 613 (-51 points)
$TSLA ( ▲ 3.86% ) 249 from 439 (-190 points)

See the difference with $TSLA ( ▲ 3.86% ) quality stocks are either trading 1 for 1 with $SPY or less. It shows $TSLA never had true value at 400+
More levels on this in premium.

$SPY ( ▲ 2.07% ) Zoomed Out.

What are your initial thoughts? Click comment logo at the top of the email to respond. We are also taking stock requests, so comment on the stock you want us to analyze.

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Offering an extended free-trial for members who want to peek into the premium membership world.

I posted this at the end of the year.

3 Essential Stock Market Education Tips for Every Level

Whether you're a banker, advisor, retail trader, or long-term investor, understanding the stock market’s fundamentals can help you make better decisions. Here are three key tips that apply to all market participants:

1️⃣ Understand Market Cycles & Economic Trends

📌 Why It Matters: The stock market moves in cycles, influenced by macroeconomic factors like interest rates, inflation, and GDP growth. Even if you're a short-term trader, knowing the bigger picture helps you anticipate market shifts.

 Tip: Track key indicators like the Fed’s interest rate policy, employment data, and bond yields to gauge where we are in the market cycle.

🔹 Example: If the Fed starts cutting rates, growth stocks and risk assets tend to perform better.

2️⃣ Follow Institutional Money (Smart Money Flow)

📌 Why It Matters: Hedge funds, banks, and institutional investors move the markets. Understanding how and where they allocate capital can give you an edge.

 Tip: Watch for unusual options activity, SEC filings (like 13F reports), and volume spikes in stocks.

🔹 Example: If you see large institutional buying in a sector (e.g., financials), it could signal a macro shift worth paying attention to.

3️⃣ Manage Risk Like a Professional

📌 Why It Matters: The difference between a profitable trader/investor and a losing one is risk management. No matter how good your analysis is, one bad trade without risk control can wipe you out.

 Tip: Always use a risk-reward ratio (at least 2:1) and set clear stop-loss levels to protect your capital.

🔹 Example: If you risk $100 on a trade, your potential profit target should be at least $200 to justify the trade.

These foundational principles apply whether you're working at a bank, managing a portfolio, or trading on your own. Master the market’s cycles, track smart money, and control your risk—and you’ll always have an edge.

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