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MacroEconomic Info
Understanding Who You're Investing With

Investors Lab:
2024 outlook and planning for possibilities

Trading Levels
/ES mini, $TSLA

Alerts Made In Chatroom:

Current swing holdings:
$TSLA 450 calls expiring December 8th
$SPY 420 puts at .9, expiring December 29th.
$SPX 4470 puts at 2.55, expiring December 4th. (stops above 4578)

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Investors Lab

2024 Normalization

BMO strategists speaks at Yahoo Finance.

One thing I would like to add is that NO ONE can predict the market. All we can do is prep for all possibilities. As we stated in my past blog about stagflation and staying cash ready, Raising rates or lower rates too fast can create damage to the economy. Having 0 rate cuts is preferred.

The reality is we only have control over what we do and how we react to information.

From a Technical Perspective:

I gave my two paths yesterday, but will provide them again so I can add one more statement. Click to view full blog

Mid-term view #1:

We haven’t broken and held the highs in almost 3 years. I assume a healthy pullback will allow buyers to continue building demand. Assuming 3500 was the ‘bottom,’ the 4130 zone we went long in a few weeks ago was our ‘Pull-back to bullish continuation,’ then all that's left is for 4638 to become support.

My Added Statement

1. We have not broken above these highs yet, which is why if cutting rates takes us above 4800 and the market starts making 4630 a supported area we will trend higher.

2. We cannot predict the news when we start trading into all time highs.

My point of showing you this is so you understand that in a playbook and as you build your investment portfolio you find your conviction, protect your ideas and find ways to hedge your ideas.

Hedging, doesn’t always mean betting against your conviction, hedging could be as simple as holding on to more cash or buying less of an asset.

MacroEconomic Info

Evaluating Company Actions

When analyzing investment opportunities, it's crucial to delve into the actions of the companies you're considering, especially when notable events like layoffs occur. Big companies like $AMZN, $HD or $TSLA can handle such decisions without much trouble, but it's important to know why.

Companies with sustainable models and consistent cash flow, often make strategic decisions to ensure their long-term viability. Layoffs in such cases are usually seen as measures to optimize operations and maintain financial health.

However, when encountering layoffs in other companies, particularly in response to high borrowing costs with high interest rates, it raises pertinent questions about their financial stability. It prompts scrutiny into their cash flow, bookkeeping practices, and internal management.

Investors should seek companies that act as shields against potential errors. A resilient company should withstand challenges, even if its protective mechanisms experience stress. The goal is to invest in entities that, even if facing difficulties, won't compromise their integrity or allow leaks in their financial stability.

Did you know? Over 70% of entrepreneurs tap into stock market gains to build wealth and reinvest in their businesses.

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