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- Stock Market Recap - 03.30.25
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🤔 When the market is going “to the moon 🚀,” how do you find stocks to invest in?
🫠 When the market is going to hell 🔥 and beyond, how do you survive?
All great questions.
In the far future the SWS team is developing some algorithms and screeners to get you through any market. For now, let me give you the basics of surviving a bear market.
Don’t search for a bottom. If you are investing, look for value. You can’t go wrong if a company continues to slide when your average price per share matches the value of that company. For example, $UBER ( ▼ 7.49% ) If I think $70 is fair value, why would I mind if it goes to $25? Unless…
You were untrained and gave all you had at once. It’s okay if you’ve made this mistake. What’s the worse that can happen? You stay broke? 🙃 hey just being transparent here…
Look for ranges to be broken or supported.
Take note of downside ranges and upside ranges.
Look for accumulation. Lots of accumulation goes on in recession markets. I mean lots.
At some point that stock you love stops falling and it trades in range for months, maybe a year or 2; It depends how bad the overall economy gets and/or stays. These usually happen on the “hush hush”. When insiders buy, the media likes to keep the news to a minimum.
Not everyone can be a trader!!! I REPEAT FOR THE DELUSIONAL FOLKS IN THE BACK. NOT EVERYONE IS A TRADER!
What do I mean? Know you market.
During bear markets, my strong suit is finding value. I only take risks on short term bearish options when a level that’s been broken and cause a 200-300 point sell off is retested. At that point the risk reward of a rejection is in my favor.
If I go love I like leaps to pair with my equity
Leaps only work if you can catch them for a discount. Meaning, wait for those 150+ point day to the downside where option premiums are getting hammered.
We plan on increasing our value by adding the more free content over the next few months.
Interviews with high profile Private Equity, Hedge Fund, and Venture Capital Firms.
Maybe some webinars
A paper trading/investing competition and the winner may win some cash💰️.
In the mean time, support our free insights by buying the team coffee or tell a friend!
Interested in Private Market News?
Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A):
Global M&A Activity: The global M&A market saw heightened activity during this period, with 590 deals announced, totaling a value of $83.95 billion. Notably, 25 transactions exceeded $500 million each, collectively accounting for $74.11 billion, representing 88% of the week's total deal value. IMAA
Media Industry Scrutiny: The Federal Communications Commission (FCC) is considering blocking media mergers based on corporate Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) policies. This potential policy change adds complexity and uncertainty to deals such as Paramount-Skydance, Verizon-Frontier, and U.S. Cellular-T-Mobile US. Axios
Travel Sector Acquisition: American Express Global Business Travel extended its merger agreement to acquire CWT, providing additional time to address legal challenges, including a lawsuit filed by the U.S. Department of Justice's Antitrust Division. Press Release Services
Venture Capital Highlights…
All of those details are below.
SEE MORE →
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General Weekly Recap |
Our Pivot Last week was 570. Why? Well Last week’s high was 570 on $SPY ( ▼ 5.85% ). There were a few other reasons, but let’s keep it simple for now. $SPY ( ▼ 5.85% ) opened the week of March 24 at 570. |
Proof of our Discord alert. 571 was our pivot and we were bullish on daily closes above it and bearish on daily closes under it. We closed the week at 555 on $SPY ( ▼ 5.85% ) confirming our bearish, logical thought process. |
Pivot for this upcoming week is given later in the reading for premium members only.
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Top 25 Options Bought/Sold (based on volume) |
Top Gainers: |
Top Losers: |
Markets & Rates
Notable News
6.1 MILLION AMERICANS ARE IN DEFAULT ON THEIR MORTGAGES (Pravda)
6.1 million Americans are in default on their mortgages.
The delinquency rate for FHA-insured loans has reached 11.03%, the highest in years.
Source:
news-pravda.com/world/2025/03/…— FXHedge (@Fxhedgers)
10:26 PM • Mar 30, 2025
Goldman Sachs $GS has raised probability that a recession occurs in 12 months from 20% to 35%.
— unusual_whales (@unusual_whales)
10:23 PM • Mar 30, 2025
Stanley Druckenmiller: 'I'm not sure if I'v ever made money shorting.'
He ran Duquesne Capital for 30 years, averaging 30% annual returns with zero down years.
Long term: 30% CARG
Short positions: 0% (He doesn't know)Don't short the market, and never bet against America
— Bourbon Capital (@BourbonCap)
4:21 PM • Mar 30, 2025
What To Expect?More Volatility. I will go into details below. |
Side Note:
New Reads About Private Equity & Venture Capital.
Feature Youtube Videos
What Do Hedge Funds Think Of Technical Analysis?
Learn How To Analyze Balance Sheets.
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