📈🏡💸 Stock Investment Analysis & The Shifting Tides in Real Estate

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Simplify Wall Street
November 12, 2023

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A Packed Week 🔄

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Last chance to invest before this company becomes a household name

What if you had the opportunity to invest in the biggest electronics products before they launched into big box retail, would you?

Through retail distribution deals with Best Buy, Ring changed doorbells and Nest changed thermostats. Early investors in these companies earned massive returns, but the opportunity to invest was limited to a select, wealthy few.

The game has changed, and for once investors have the option to invest in a company that’s gearing up for a massive retail rollout.

RYSE is set to debut in 100+ Best Buy stores this month, and you're in luck—you can still invest at only $1.25/share before their name becomes known nationwide.

They have patented the only mass market shade automation device, and their exclusive deal with Best Buy resembles that which led Ring and Nest to their billion-dollar buyouts.

All About BONDS

Types of Investment Analysis

  • Top-Down vs. Bottom-Up: 

    • Top-down investing focuses on the bigger picture, considering things like the overall economy and market trends. This strategy believes that the success of the broader economy and industries can influence how individual stocks perform.

      • With top-down investing, you start by analyzing the economy, sectors, and industries to find areas that seem promising. Then, you choose specific stocks within those sectors.

      • For example, if you believe technology will do well, you might invest in several tech companies. This approach helps investors make decisions based on the larger economic situation rather than the specific details of individual companies.

    Believe in Yourself

    • Bottom-up investing is a strategy where investors study individual stocks rather than the overall economy. Instead of worrying about big trends, they pay attention to specific companies and their details. This approach believes that even if an entire industry is not doing well, certain companies within that industry can still succeed.

      • To do bottom-up investing, you need to look at small details about a company, like how much money it makes and spends, the products it sells, and the company's overall health

For example, a unique way a company advertises its products or how it's organized internally might catch an investor's attention. Conversely, problems with a company's financial statements could be a warning sign, even if the whole industry seems to be doing fine.

Why Does This Matter?

The stock market is experiencing extreme volatility. If you are not confident in investment strategies, how can you mentally handle holding your favorite stocks through the storm? How will you know when to buy more or when to hedge?

You have Value Investing, Fundamental, Technical, and Quantitative Analysis, and many more analysis tools for doing company research.

@simplifywsj

Value vs Growth Investing! 🥸📔📈 #stocks #investing #stockpicks #stocktok #moneytok #learninvesting #investingbasics #stockmarketinvesting

@simplifywsj

Fundemental vs Technical Analaysis! 📈📚🤑#stocks #investing #stockpicks #stocktok #moneytok #learninvesting #investingbasics #stockmarketinv... See more

Housing

Real Estate Is Changing 👀📊

Potential issues could trigger a housing market decline. One major issue is if there are more sellers than buyers, economic uncertainties, and a slowdown in consumer spending. This could affect the U.S. economy by hindering wealth accumulation and growth. According to experts, due to high costs, the once attainable American dream of affordable homeownership is now in doubt. Despite predictions of significant home price drops since the pandemic, the market has remained robust, with prices reaching new highs.

While some analysts foresee a housing market slump in the coming year due to extreme unaffordability, others expect prices to keep rising. Factors like high costs and mortgage rates nearing 8% mean buyers may need over 40% of their income for monthly payments. Influenced by the 10-year Treasury yield, mortgage rates remain uncertain, and the Federal Reserve's decisions play a crucial role. Renting becomes attractive as new apartments flood the market, with rents cooling after a pandemic surge.

Household finances grew during the pandemic, but increasing loan delinquencies hint at challenges posed by tighter monetary policies and inflation. Rising unemployment could deter potential buyers. Limited home inventory has kept prices high, and more homes would need to be available for a decline.

While some metropolitan areas are at risk of price declines, the impact won't be uniform, especially for smaller homes, which may stay more stable. Recent declines might only impact homeowners holding onto their properties a little.

#HousingMarket #HomePrices #RealEstateTrends 🏠📉

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Listen Up, Folks 👂📢👥 

The stock market is a business that is always looking for new hires. If you want to dabble in trading, investing, and short-term portfolio management, you need a partner who can provide reliable levels and import economic insights as a guide.

DATA RELEASE

All About The Data!

MONDAY, NOV 13th

  • Fed Governor Lisa Cook speaks at 8:00 am

TUESDAY, NOV 14th

8:30 am: CPI (Consumer Price Index) data

WEDNESDAY, NOV 15th

  • 8:30 am: PPI (Producer Price Index) data

THURSDAY, NOV 16th

  • Jobless Claims,

  • Previous: 2170,000 | Expected: 220,000

Fed speakers will give remarks on FRIDAY, NOV 17th

8:45 am Boston Fed President Susan Collins speaks

9:45 am Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr speaks

9:45 am Chicago Fed President Goolsbee speaks

10:00 am San Francisco Fed President Daly speaks

INTRADAY SESSION PLAN

WEEKLY TRADING LEVELS

/ES is now trading at 4420.

Our upside target was 4450. With this being a data-heavy week, we expect more volatility than ever, especially as we trade at the highs.

Our expectation due to upcoming data, feeling bullish FOMO within the market, seeing that the majority of retail investors believe the Feds have everything figured things out with no more rate hikes, quantitative tightening being a success, and that the road to bring inflation closer to 2% is underway, it can be easy for the market to trade to 4480-4500, but difficult for the market to have daily closes above 4480-90.

If we get a rejection, closes above 4490 can start a short squeeze into 4600.

Our downside key support is 4350. This level can offer one or two scenarios based on if you are short-term bullish or bearish.

  1. 4350 is bought within 1-2 days to return to 4450.

  2. 4350 is bought for an intraday scalp but loses its support for a test to 4280.

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