Super Micro Computer - Deep Dive Investment Analysis.

Worth The Investment?

Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) has been a prominent player in the AI-driven server market. Recent developments, including earnings reports, stock movements, and financial reporting issues, have raised questions about its current investment potential. In this deep dive, we'll explore:

  1. Earnings Overview 📊

  2. Delayed 10-K Filing and Nasdaq Listing Concerns ⚠️

  3. Stock Split and Current Valuation 📉

  4. Investment Considerations: Balancing Growth and Risk 💡

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1️⃣ Q2 2025 Earnings Overview 📊

On February 11, 2025, SMCI released its preliminary earnings for the quarter ending December 31, 2024. Key highlights include:

  • Revenue: Expected between $5.6 billion and $5.7 billion, representing a 54% year-over-year growth at the midpoint.

  • Gross Margin: Anticipated to be in the range of 11.8% to 11.9%.

  • GAAP Earnings Per Share (EPS): Projected between $0.50 and $0.52, flat compared to the same quarter last year.

  • Non-GAAP EPS: Expected between $0.58 and $0.60, indicating a 5% year-over-year increase.

Additionally, the company revised its fiscal year 2025 revenue guidance to $23.5 billion to $25 billion, down from the previous estimate of $26 billion to $30 billion.

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