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SWS Stock Market Insights 04.20.25

SWS Stock Market Insights 04.20.25

Should you be dumping your last coins into the market?

Simplify Wall Street
April 20, 2025

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📊 Market Recap 04.20.25

🚨 What Happened in the Market

The stock market experienced a mix of gains and losses over the past week, with significant attention on earnings reports and ongoing trade policy developments. The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq Composite all saw fluctuations as investors reacted to news of tariff exemptions and corporate earnings.

Key Market Movements:

Index	Weekly Performance	Notes
S&P 500	-0.17%	Closed at 5,396.63, with volatility subsiding as the CBOE VIX fell to 30.
Dow Jones Industrial Average	-0.38%	Closed at 40,368.96, impacted by Boeing's decline.
Nasdaq Composite	-0.05%	Closed at 16,823.17, with tech stocks showing mixed results.

Sector Highlights:

Sector	Weekly ±%	Notes
Technology	Mixed	Tech stocks jumped on tariff exemptions, with Apple and Dell gaining.
Financials	+1.0%	Boosted by strong earnings from Bank of America and Citigroup.
Industrials	-2.0%	Boeing shares slipped due to concerns over Chinese orders.

Notable Stock Movements:

Apple (AAPL): Gained 2.2% following tariff exemption news.
Dell Technologies (DELL): Rose over 3% on positive tariff developments.
Intel (INTC): Increased by more than 2% after announcing a sale of its Altera unit.
Palantir (PLTR): Jumped 4% after NATO acquired its AI-enabled military system.
Boeing (BA): Declined over 2% due to concerns about Chinese orders.

Earnings Highlights:

Bank of America (BAC): Exceeded Q1 earnings expectations, shares rose 3.6%.
Citigroup (C): Also beat earnings estimates, shares increased by 1.8%.
Netflix (NFLX) and United Airlines (UAL): Scheduled to report earnings this week.

⚠️ What Didn’t Happen

Tariff Uncertainty Remains:
The U.S. rolled out sweeping new tariffs (10%–125%) on imports from China, Canada, and Mexico. China responded with 84% tariffs on U.S. goods. Inflation risk is rising, and the Fed may delay rate cuts. No final trade framework is confirmed yet.
Nvidia Faces Export Hit:
Nvidia took a $5.5B charge due to U.S. export restrictions on its AI chips to China. Markets are waiting to see how much revenue will be lost — and if Nvidia can offset it elsewhere.
Fed Still Balancing Risks:
The Fed remains cautious on rate cuts. Tariffs are adding uncertainty to inflation and slowing global trade recovery.
Growth Outlook Slipping:
GDP estimates for 2025 have dropped to ~1.9%. Consumer sentiment is weakening as people brace for financial pressure from trade shifts and inflation.
ECB Easing, But Tensions Linger:
The European Central Bank is easing policy, but rising tariffs threaten EU exports. Investors are unsure how global trade will evolve from here.

📰 News

“China wins a trade war with the U.S.” — Jeffrey Sachs
China produces, while the U.S. consumes on credit.
Trump doesn’t get it because "he never made it to the second day of econ class."
"Our political system is in a state of collapse."
— COMBATE |🇵🇷 (@upholdreality)
11:18 PM • Apr 19, 2025

Recession is coming before end of 2025, generally 'pessimistic' corporate CFOs say per CNBC
— unusual_whales (@unusual_whales)
1:01 PM • Apr 18, 2025

🤫 Private Market News

Here's a summary of the most recent news from the venture capital and private markets that your subscribers should be aware of:

Venture Capital and Private Market News:

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⚠️ Watchlist

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